Lime's 2016 prediction 12/8/2016

Lime's 2016 preddiction 10/8/2016

Most americans don't support religious freedom and the confederate flag being displayed

 

Majority of Americans are Pro-choice on abortion, but most of the south and utah are pro-life

Lime's 2016 prediction 5/8/2016

Tim kaine basically increased spending by 20% overall

In 2006 Virginia's total government spending was $55.8 billion .In 2010 Virginia's total government spending was $67.7 billion or an increase of 21.33%

http://www.usgovernmentspending.com/compare_state_spending_2006bF0D

http://www.usgovernmentspending.com/compare_state_spending_2010bF0D
Virginia spent $19.5 billion on education in 2006, but in 2010 they spent $22.9 billion on education which is an increase of 17.44%

http://www.usgovernmentspending.com/compare_state_spending_2006b20Dn

http://www.usgovernmentspending.com/compare_state_spending_2010b20D

In 2006, Virgina spent $9.3 billion on healthcare, but in 2010 they spent $11.8 billion on healthcare which is an increase of 26.88%

http://www.usgovernmentspending.com/compare_state_spending_2006b10D

http://www.usgovernmentspending.com/compare_state_spending_2010b10D

In 2006, Virgina spent $3.7 billion on welfare, but in 2010 they spent $5.7 billion on welfare which is an increase of 54.05%

http://www.usgovernmentspending.com/compare_state_spending_2006b40D

http://www.usgovernmentspending.com/compare_state_spending_2010b40D

In 2006, Virginia spent $2.8 billion on pensions, but in 2010 they spent $3.9 billion on pensions which is an increase of 39.29%

http://www.usgovernmentspending.com/compare_state_spending_2006b00D

http://www.usgovernmentspending.com/compare_state_spending_2010b00D

In January 2006, Virgina's unemplyment rate was 3.3%, but in January 2010 it was 7.9%. Which is more than a doubling of unemployment when Tim Kaine was Governor of Virginia

http://www.homefacts.com/unemployment/Virginia.html

As governor, Kaine sought to impose nearly $4 billion in higher taxes, including an income tax hike on families earning as little as $17,000 a year.

Kaine tried to Increase the bottom tax rate from 5.75% to 6.75%

Tax increase on businesses collecting sales tax bumping the state rate from 4% to 4.3%

https://www.atr.org/tim-kaine-pushed-income-tax-hikes-families-making-little-17000

Kaine as Governor abolished the state estate tax

http://taxfoundation.org/blog/lunch-links-trump-taxes-kaine-taxes-illinois-sales-tax-woes

30% of the cost of Kaine’s extra tax cuts would go to people making over $1 million

http://www.taxjusticeblog.org/archive/2012/09/tim_kaine_lurches_right_in_que.php#.V5TZ-6JAvfY

Mike Pence is a real conservative

In January 2013 Indiana's unemployment rate was 8.4%, as of June 2016 their unemployment rate is 5%
https://ycharts.com/indicators/indiana_unemployment_rate

Indiana's state debt in 2013 was $22.6 billion, in 2016 it's currently $19.4 billion. That means since Pence took office, Indiana's debt has decreased by 14.16%
http://www.usgovernmentspending.com/compare_state_spending_2013bH0D

http://www.usgovernmentspending.com/compare_state_spending_2016bH0D 

In 2013 Indiana spent $7 billion on education, but in 2016 it spent $6.7 billion on education, that means education spending has decreased 4.29% since Pence took office

http://www.usgovernmentspending.com/compare_state_spending_2013b20D

http://www.usgovernmentspending.com/compare_state_spending_2016b20D

In 2013 Indiana spent $10 billion on health care, but in 2016 Indiana spent $8.2 billion on healthcare. That's a decrease of 18% since Pence took office

http://www.usgovernmentspending.com/compare_state_spending_2013b10D
http://www.usgovernmentspending.com/compare_state_spending_2016b10D

In 2013, Indiana spent $2.9 billion on welfare, but they spent $3.3 billion. That's an increase of 10.35% since pence took office
http://www.usgovernmentspending.com/compare_state_spending_2013b40D
http://www.usgovernmentspending.com/compare_state_spending_2016b40D

Voted NO on $15B bailout for GM and Chrysler. (Dec 2008)
Voted NO on monitoring TARP funds to ensure more mortgage relief. (Jan 2009)

When Mike Pence was a meber of congress he supported:
A balanced budget, by Constitutional amendment. (Jan 2011),
Proposed a balanced budget amendment to the US Constitution. (Jan 2011)

Voted YES on promoting free trade with Peru. (Nov 2007)
Voted NO on assisting workers who lose jobs due to globalization. (Oct 2007)
Voted YES on implementing CAFTA, Central America Free Trade. (Jul 2005)
Voted YES on implementing US-Australia Free Trade Agreement. (Jul 2004)
Voted YES on implementing US-Singapore free trade agreement. (Jul 2003)
Voted YES on implementing free trade agreement with Chile. (Jul 2003)

Voted YES on extending unemployment benefits from 39 weeks to 59 weeks. (Oct 2008)
Voted NO on restricting employer interference in union organizing. (Mar 2007)
Voted NO on increasing minimum wage to $7.25. (Jan 2007)
Voted YES on zero-funding OSHA's Ergonomics Rules instead of $4.5B. (Mar 2001)

http://www.economicpolicyjournal.com/2016/07/mike-pences-economic-voting-record.html

Indiana's currently the only rust belt state in the US to have a AAA/triple A credit rating and a majority of that time it's been like while Mike Pence has been Governor

https://ballotpedia.org/Indiana_state_budget_and_finances

As a congressman, Pence advocated making the Bush tax cuts from 2001 and 2003 permanent

http://money.cnn.com/2016/07/15/news/economy/pence-taxes/

When Pence took office, Indiana’s 3.4% flat individual income tax rate was already the 2nd-lowest in the nation (only Pennsylvania’s 3.07% was lower). Still, in his first state of the state address, Pence pitched a 10% cut as an “affordable” way to “unleash half a billion dollars” into Indiana’s economy. The legislature eventually passed a 5% reduction, bringing Indiana’s tax rate down to 3.23% over the next 2 years

Pence proposed more tax cuts in 2014. That year, he signed legislation that'll gradually lower Indiana’s corporate income tax rate from 6.5% in 2015 to 4.9% in 2021

Every year that pence has been Governor, Indiana's had a balanced budget

http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxvox/trumps-choice-vp-mike-pence-experienced-tax-cutter

Pence was the lead sponsor of legislation in 2003 that would've cut the capital gains tax from 15% at the time to 10%

http://www.taxjusticeblog.org/archive/2016/07/vp_nominee_mike_pence_is_a_lon.php#.V4vaQaJAvfY

In January 2013 2,916,481 people were employed in Indiana, in May 2013 it's 3,201,647. That's an increase of 9.78% since Pence became Governor which is a higher rate of growth during that time than the rest of the US which only grew at 5.43% 

Indiana's labor force was 3,183,212 in january of 2013, but in May 2016 it's 3,369,739 and that's an increase of 5.86% which is higher than the rest of the US during that time period that only grew at 1.8%
http://www.hoosierdata.in.gov/dpage.asp?id=54&view_number=2&menu_level=&panel_number=2

Chicken Strawpoll w/ larger sample size

here's some facts about me

Sanders vs Paul, Paul vs Johnson and Sanders vs Johnson strawpolls

Clinton leads w/ 341 electoral college votes, Clinton ahead ^% nationally and ahead 1% nationally when you include Gary Johnson

Analysisng 1896, 1900, 1904 and 1908 Canadian Federal Elections

Analysing 1911 and 1917 Canadian federal elections

Analysing 1935 canadian federal election

trump vs farage, Trump vs Trudeau, Trudeau vs Sanders

Super Chicken Straw Poll

gop primaries w/ 20% threshold

what if 1980 and 1988 gop primaries used pr w/ 15% threshold

What if the gop used the democrat's method in 1996 and 2000

what if you could have proportional in representation...but had to get 15% or more to be represented

23% of us senateors and governors aren't democrats or republicans and they don't even know it

Continued analysis of 2016 gop primaries

analysing 2016 gop primaries

Jew us map

black votes

Jewish facts

Sir Arthur Bryant, a respected historian of the 1920s, wrote that although Jews comprised 1% of the German population, in 1924 in the Reichstag they constituted a 25% of the Social Democrats.
Jews controlled 57% of the metal trade, 22% of grain, and 39% of textiles. More than 50% of the Berlin Chamber of Commerce were Jewish, as were a spectacular 1,200 of the 1,474 members of the German Stock Exchange.

Of the 29 legitimate theaters in Berlin, 23 had Jewish directors. Authorship was almost a Jewish monopoly. In 1931, of 144 film scripts worked, 119 were written by Jews and 77 produced by them.
In Berlin in 1931, 42% of the city's doctors and 48% of its lawyers were Jews.
http://www.rense.com/general59/sdom.htm

The Social Democratic party in Germany had the most votes and seats in Germany, with 20.5% of the vote and 21% of the seats in the May 4th 1924 general election and 26% of the vote and 27% of the seats
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/German_federal_election,_May_1924
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/German_federal_election,_December_1924

18% of jewish households have a net worth of $1 million or more.
48% Of US Billionaires Are Jewish
http://politicsinn.com/48-percent-of-u-s-billionaires-are-jewish/

In 1980 Israel's population was 3,921,700 and in 2013 it's 8,309,400...that's a 112% increase
http://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/jsource/Society_&_Culture/IsraelStatGlimpse.html

Statistics about Jews

• South Dakota's Jewish population in 1899 was 1,750 but in 2014 it's 250...that's a 86% decrease
• North Dakota's Jewish population in 1899 was 1,750 but in 2014 it's 400...that's a 77% decrease
• Mississippi's Jewish population in 1899 was 5,000 but in 2014 it's 1,575...that's a 69% decrease
• West Virginia's Jewish population in 1899 was 6,000 but in 2014 it's 2,310...that's a 62% decrease
• Arkansas' Jewish population in 1899 was 4,000 but in 2014 it's 1725...that's a 57% decrease
• Louisiana's Jewish population in 1899 was 20,000 but in 2014 it's 10,675...that's a 47% decrease
• Montana's Jewish population in 1899 was 2,500 but in 2014 it's 1,350...that's a 46% decrease
• Idaho's Jewish population in 1899 was 2,000 but in 2014 it's 1,525...that's a a 24% decrease
• Indiana's Jewish population in 1899 was 25,000 but in 2014 it's 17,220...that's a 31% decrease 
• Kentucky's Jewish population in 1899 was 12,000 but in 2014 it's 11,300...that's a 6% decrease

http://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/jsource/US-Israel/usjewpop.html

The government is made of the 1%

electoral college

HISTORICAL AND INTERESTING INFORMATION
The US is the oldest continuously functioning democracy in the world
http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2014/Info/electoral-college.html

A similar electoral college was previously used by the Holy Roman Empire.
From the Middle Ages until 1792, leaders of the Holy Roman Empire were elected by a college of prince-electors from various German states
http://www.history.com/news/9-things-you-may-not-know-about-the-electoral-college

The founding fathers established the Electoral College in the Constitution as a compromise between election of the President by a vote in Congress and election of the President by a popular vote of qualified citizens, but the term “electoral college” doesn't appear in the Constitution.
Article II of the Constitution and the 12th Amendment refer to “electors,” but not to the “electoral college.”
http://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/faq.html#whyec

The electoral college is part of compromises made at the convention to satisfy the small states.
http://www.historycentral.com/elections/Electoralcollgewhy.html

Reference sources indicate that over the past 200 years, over 700 proposals have been introduced in Congress to reform or eliminate the Electoral College. There's been more proposals for Constitutional amendments on changing the Electoral College than on any other subject.
http://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/faq.html#whyec

The reason that the Constitution calls for this extra layer, rather than just providing for the direct election of the president is that most of the nation’s founders were actually rather afraid of democracy. James Madison worried about what he called "factions," which he defined as groups of citizens who have a common interest in some proposal that would either violate the rights of other citizens or would harm the nation as a whole.
Madison’s fear – which Alexis de Tocqueville later dubbed "the tyranny of the majority" – was that a faction could grow to encompass more than 50% of the population, at which point it could "sacrifice to its ruling passion or interest both the public good and the rights of other citizens." Madison has a solution for tyranny of the majority: "A republic, by which I mean a government in which the scheme of representation takes place, opens a different prospect, and promises the cure for which we are seeking."
http://www.factcheck.org/2008/02/the-reason-for-the-electoral-college/

What problems were the framers of the Constitution hoping to solve with the Electoral College?
Their basic problem was that there was no obvious model of what a national republican executive would be.
The dominant models of executive power in the 18th century were monarchical, or perhaps a king ruling with a clique of ministers, as in Britain.  Those were options the Americans had repudiated in 1776. 
The most obvious alternative was to have the president elected by Congress. But the framers also wanted an executive who'd be both independent of Congress and a check upon it.
https://news.stanford.edu/2012/08/20/rakove-electoral-college-082012/

HOW IT WORKS
Electoral votes are allocated based on the Census
https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/allocation.html

The President isn't chosen by a nation-wide popular vote. The Electoral College vote totals determine the winner, not the statistical plurality or majority a candidate may have in the nation-wide popular vote totals. Electoral votes are awarded on the basis of the popular vote in each state.
http://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/faq.html#whyec

The number of electors equals the number of lawmakers in Congress - 435 in the House of Representatives and 100 in the Senate, plus 3 for the DC
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-campaign-electoralcollege-factbox-idUSBRE8A11EO20121103

Most states require that all electoral votes go to the candidate who receives the majority in that state except for Maine and Nebraska that have a “district system” in which 2 at-large electors vote for the state’s popular majority and 1 elector votes for each congressional district’s popular majority
http://history.house.gov/Institution/Electoral-College/Electoral-College/

Under the system of the Electoral College each state had the same number of electoral votes as they have representative in Congress and no state could have less then 3
http://www.historycentral.com/elections/Electoralcollgewhy.html

Generally, each state’s Electors vote at their respective state capitols. Each state determines whether or not the voting's open to the public.
http://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/faq.html#whyec

Under the 23rd Amendment of the Constitution, the District of Columbia's allocated 3 electors and treated like a state for purposes of the Electoral College. For this reason, in the following discussion, the word “state” also refers to the District of Columbia
http://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/about.html

Members of Congress and federal employees are precluded from serving as electors
The manner of choosing electors is left to the states, although the Constitution stipulates that “no Senator or Representative or Person holding an Office of Trust or Profit under the US, shall be appointed an Elector.”
http://www.history.com/news/9-things-you-may-not-know-about-the-electoral-college

The process for selecting Electors varies throughout the US. Generally, the political parties nominate Electors at their State party conventions or by a vote of the party’s central committee in each State. Each candidate will have their own unique slate of potential Electors as a result of this part of the selection process
http://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/electors.html#selection

The Constitution has never bound electors to vote for specific candidates
https://mises.org/library/origins-electoral-college

After the presidential election, your governor prepares a “Certificate of Ascertainment” listing all of the candidates who ran for President in your state along with the names of their respective electors. The Certificate of Ascertainment also declares the winning presidential candidate in your state and shows which electors will represent your state at the meeting of the electors in December of the election year
http://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/about.html

IF NO ONE GETS A MAJORITY OF ELECTORAL VOTES
If no candidate gets a majority of Electoral votes, the House of Representatives elects the President from the 3 Presidential candidates who received the most Electoral votes. Each state delegation has 1 vote. The Senate would elect the Vice President from the 2 Vice Presidential candidates with the most Electoral votes.
Each Senator would cast 1 vote for Vice President. If the House of Representatives fails to elect a President by Inauguration Day, the Vice-President Elect serves as acting President until the deadlock's resolved in the House
http://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/faq.html#whyec

WHAT THE HELL'S A FAITHLESS ELECTOR?
A faithless elector's one who casts an electoral vote for someone other than the candidate they've pledged to elec.
On 157 occasions, electors have cast their votes for president or vice president in a different manner than that prescribed by the legislature of the state they represent
Of those, 71 votes were changed because the original candidate died before the elector was able to cast a vote
2 votes weren't cast at all when electors chose to abstain from casting their electoral vote for any candidate. The remaining 85 were changed by the elector's personal interest or perhaps by accident. Usually, the faithless electors act alone
There's laws to punish faithless electors in 24 states
https://votesmart.org/education/electoral-college#.V13CM6I1TfY

THIS IS WHY 3RD PARTIES ARE SCREWED OVER
An individual can run as a write-in candidate. In 35 states, a write-in candidate must file some paperwork in advance of the election. In 7 states, write-in voting for presidential candidates isn't permitted. The remaining states don't require write-in candidates to file paperwork in advance of the election
https://ballotpedia.org/Ballot_access_for_presidential_candidates

When Ralph Nader announced in February 2004 that he'd seek the presidential nomination, he was required to collect 1.5 million signatures in all states to appear on the ballot. Deadlines for those signatures begin as early as May 2004.
http://www.pbs.org/newshour/updates/politics-july-dec04-third_parties/

Trump puts Oregon, Washington, CT, Michigan, New Jersey and Pennsylvania into swing states