Friday, August 24, 2018

UPCOMING QUEBEC ELECTION IS HISTORIC

Both of Quebec's main parties: the Liberals and the PQ are both polling at all time lows in support when it comes to the popular vote and this could be the first time the CAQ forms government in Quebec.


Liberals headed for all time low
The worst the Liberals ever did in the popular vote wasn't that far back in 2012, when they got just over 31%. Right now I'm predicting the Liberals will get a little bit less than 30%


PQ headed for all time low too
The PQ's worst showing in the popular vote was way back during the party's first election in 1970, when they got 23%, right now I predict that they'll get at around 17-18%. If they end up being 3rd, it'll be the first time this has happened to them since 2007 when their coke snorting leader caused a 3 close, 3 way race. If they end up being 4th(which has a decent chance of happening) that'll be the first time it's happened to them in their entire party's history!


CAQ could form their first government
The CAQ has always had chances of forming the government, but always ended up coming close or falling apart(take 2007 vs 2008 and massive leads in 2012 and ending up a close 3rd). This is also gonna be the first time since 1966 that Quebec will be voting for a conservative/center right government.


QS could end up with historic high support and maybe being in 3rd place
The QS has always increased their support by 2% in each election and gained 1 seat per election usually, so if they get anymore support than what they have now(which is certain to happen) it'll be historic for them
1%-----2003
4%-----2007
4%-----2008
6%-----2012
8%-----2014
11%----2018(prediction)